Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1.376596 1.588854 1.822454 2.098559 2.415962 2.769409 3.192892
2025-04-27 1.121112 1.408186 1.750993 2.190321 2.738359 3.399543 4.258172
2025-05-04 0.924344 1.249880 1.667238 2.241107 3.009594 4.003375 5.387073
2025-05-11 0.767097 1.107930 1.573512 2.255170 3.227509 4.564925 6.546009
2025-05-18 0.626142 0.960010 1.443024 2.191525 3.321872 4.965549 7.539954
2025-05-25 0.506831 0.820693 1.299198 2.080156 3.322426 5.222636 8.353697
2025-06-01 0.435482 0.741388 1.230716 2.068167 3.465164 5.703175 9.565671
2025-06-08 0.372454 0.664355 1.152614 2.025931 3.548490 6.094496 10.681260
2025-06-15 0.346850 0.645954 1.167349 2.138728 3.902631 6.971078 12.722002
2025-06-22 0.313434 0.608044 1.142050 2.175999 4.127110 7.650089 14.503692
2025-06-29 0.277234 0.559128 1.089413 2.154458 4.238986 8.138323 15.997083
2025-07-06 0.236772 0.495686 1.000411 2.050376 4.178587 8.296735 16.882192
2025-07-13 0.219017 0.476158 0.995813 2.115907 4.467902 9.177162 19.335697
2025-07-20 0.206785 0.466296 1.009330 2.220683 4.852579 10.298757 22.439933
2025-07-27 0.191520 0.447509 1.001629 2.279647 5.149940 11.282379 25.396859
2025-08-03 0.174734 0.422646 0.977231 2.298431 5.362626 12.115351 28.145632
2025-08-10 0.154181 0.385756 0.920724 2.236170 5.384268 12.534756 30.028938
2025-08-17 0.133162 0.344326 0.847656 2.124019 5.273228 12.639404 31.196951
2025-08-24 0.120939 0.322729 0.818332 2.112644 5.400555 13.309682 33.799588
2025-08-31 0.108426 0.298392 0.778797 2.070012 5.444661 13.787290 35.996978
2025-09-07 0.105264 0.298250 0.799961 2.185550 5.905330 15.341166 41.114446
2025-09-14 0.098588 0.287490 0.792167 2.223818 6.170368 16.439012 45.205912
2025-09-21 0.089952 0.269868 0.763650 2.201921 6.271536 17.128656 48.311539